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Red75
705625.2
20130.1
51509.4
Blue64
30223.2
523416.3
722621.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61643040507080901007564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#4
30.10.4
27.928.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End6.5
red by 6.9
302
#11
23.20.1
22.923.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Second
7056
#14
25.20.4
22.923.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End9.9
red by 3.9
7226
#23
21.20.1
21.021.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End-0.2
Third
5150
#33
9.40.4
7.17.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End2.2
blue by 7.0
16.30.1
16.116.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End5.1