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Red52
345217.4
659112.5
607823.9
Blue64
716610.4
353628.6
31418.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374601020306070805264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.8
14.115.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End12.2
blue by 4.7
28.62.4
16.819.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End10.2
Second
3452
#18
17.41.1
10.011.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
blue by 0.7
314
#13
18.11.4
16.517.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End4.2
Third
6591
#26
12.51.8
11.513.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.4
End2.7
red by 2.2
7166
#22
10.42.4
9.011.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsEarned