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Red40
78189.5
370733.9
71448.2
Blue42
523511.6
551714.3
722014.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4934102040607080904042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.8
27.026.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End5.4
red by 19.7
5517
#15
14.30.6
12.813.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
Second
7818
#19
9.50.8
8.88.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End3.2
blue by 4.5
7220
#10
14.00.6
12.413.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
7144
#31
8.21.3
8.47.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.0
blue by 3.4
5235
#17
11.60.6
8.48.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed