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Red82
511440.0
607823.9
654810.5
Blue42
523416.3
716610.4
365518.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653402040801008242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.7
30.732.4
Auto13.4
Teleop14.9
End11.7
red by 21.9
3655
#24
18.10.7
11.111.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End7.1
Second
23.92.8
15.918.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End12.2
red by 7.6
16.30.4
13.513.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End5.1
Third
6548
#28
10.51.7
10.311.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.0
red by 0.1
7166
#22
10.40.7
11.412.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsEarned