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Red89
370733.9
345217.4
551714.3
Blue74
365518.1
20130.1
705625.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58623040507080901008974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.92.3
27.930.1
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End5.4
red by 3.8
201
#4
30.11.1
28.029.1
Auto7.4
Teleop16.1
End6.5
Second
3452
#18
17.42.3
12.414.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
blue by 7.7
7056
#14
25.21.1
17.818.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End9.9
Third
5517
#15
14.32.3
14.917.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End5.2
blue by 3.9
3655
#24
18.11.8
11.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned