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Red58
57046.3
567417.0
30223.2
Blue66
842410.8
362030.0
836814.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4950304060705866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
23.20.2
20.020.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.5
blue by 6.8
30.01.3
26.327.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End9.5
Second
5674
#12
17.00.2
18.618.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End8.9
red by 2.5
8368
#21
14.52.1
10.512.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8
Third
5704
#34
6.30.2
8.28.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End2.5
blue by 4.5
8424
#16
10.82.1
10.112.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned