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Red23
523511.6
78189.5
842410.8
Blue30
83744.8
836814.5
66109.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334203040502330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5235
#17
11.60.8
9.08.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End4.2
blue by 2.9
8368
#21
14.51.0
12.611.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8
Second
8424
#16
10.81.4
12.210.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End3.8
red by 1.8
6610
#30
9.10.6
10.39.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End3.6
Third
7818
#19
9.50.8
10.39.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End3.2
red by 4.8
8374
#32
4.81.0
8.07.0
Auto0.9
Teleop1.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed