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Red39
765613.2
362030.0
659112.5
Blue71
71448.2
345217.4
30223.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58472040801003971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.9
27.626.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End9.5
red by 6.8
302
#11
23.20.9
20.221.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Second
7656
#29
13.21.6
11.49.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End7.6
blue by 4.3
3452
#18
17.40.9
15.416.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
Third
6591
#26
12.51.6
14.112.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.4
End2.7
red by 4.3
7144
#31
8.21.5
9.811.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned