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Red54
438416.3
345217.4
567417.0
Blue26
523416.3
659112.5
71448.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55392060801005426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#18
17.40.3
16.316.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End9.4
red by 1.1
16.31.1
14.613.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End5.1
Second
5674
#12
17.00.3
18.919.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End8.9
red by 4.5
6591
#26
12.51.7
12.510.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Third
4384
#20
16.30.4
14.514.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End5.4
red by 8.1
7144
#31
8.21.7
11.39.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed