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Red62
511440.0
523416.3
72035.9
Blue42
57046.3
370733.9
438416.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646450607080906242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.1
38.038.1
Auto13.4
Teleop14.9
End11.7
red by 6.1
33.91.2
34.633.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.2
End5.4
Second
16.30.1
15.515.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End5.1
Level
4384
#20
16.31.5
16.815.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End5.4
Third
7203
#25
5.90.1
6.86.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.2
End2.1
blue by 0.5
5704
#34
6.31.2
8.67.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed