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Red43
509019.9
204813.1
719112.5
Blue55
118817.6
570815.1
615213.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946203040607080904355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
20.020.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.2
red by 2.3
1188
#12
17.60.3
16.717.0
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Second
13.10.1
13.313.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End4.3
blue by 2.0
15.10.3
14.214.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End9.7
Third
7191
#19
12.50.1
12.612.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.4
blue by 0.7
6152
#16
13.20.3
12.312.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End4.0