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Red37
546711.0
61017.1
569515.9
Blue5
722012.3
717410.2
52255.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253201020405060375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#14
15.90.9
10.311.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
red by 3.6
7220
#15
12.32.6
8.35.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Second
5467
#13
11.00.6
6.77.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End6.1
red by 0.8
7174
#29
10.22.6
10.88.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Third
6101
#17
7.10.9
7.68.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End2.0
red by 1.8
5225
#28
5.32.6
9.77.0
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed