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Red50
233727.4
55778.1
52176.9
Blue27
717410.2
811517.6
88265.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373010204050605027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.4
21.623.0
Auto13.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
red by 9.8
17.60.2
15.415.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.9
Second
5577
#32
8.10.8
6.77.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 2.1
7174
#29
10.20.2
7.06.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Third
5217
#20
6.90.8
5.56.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.3
red by 1.0
8826
#27
5.90.2
6.66.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed