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Red32
566021.1
60578.5
3229.0
Blue39
570815.1
47585.6
549815.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322801020405060703239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.2
18.819.0
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End5.7
red by 5.8
15.30.9
10.211.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End10.3
Second
322
#33
9.00.3
4.14.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End2.3
blue by 6.1
15.10.9
14.014.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End9.7
Third
6057
#30
8.50.3
6.77.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.0
End4.0
red by 2.8
4758
#21
5.60.6
2.43.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned