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Red25
52176.9
55317.8
569515.9
Blue46
233727.4
47585.6
3229.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28361020405060702546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#14
15.90.7
13.913.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
blue by 11.5
27.41.5
25.326.8
Auto13.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Second
5531
#22
7.80.7
7.67.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End2.5
blue by 1.2
322
#33
9.01.4
4.35.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End2.3
Third
5217
#20
6.90.4
5.85.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End0.3
red by 1.2
4758
#21
5.60.9
3.03.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed