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Red43
509019.9
564112.3
54811.5
Blue52
341429.0
47585.6
717410.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4736102030406070804352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.0
18.118.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.2
blue by 9.1
29.00.9
23.924.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.1
End5.6
Second
5641
#24
12.30.0
10.610.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.3
red by 2.1
7174
#29
10.21.3
7.18.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Third
548
#36
11.50.1
13.713.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End3.9
red by 5.8
4758
#21
5.60.9
3.94.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed