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Red41
570815.1
24712.8
60578.5
Blue14
84275.3
54811.5
61905.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362301030405060704114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.4
12.913.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End9.7
red by 3.6
548
#36
11.50.8
12.211.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End3.9
Second
247
#11
12.80.4
11.411.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End3.7
red by 6.9
6190
#34
5.90.8
6.45.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End2.8
Third
6057
#30
8.50.4
7.98.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.0
End4.0
red by 3.2
8427
#23
5.30.8
4.73.9
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned8%Hangar oddsMissed