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Red67
118817.6
283227.8
722012.3
Blue37
569515.9
570815.1
88265.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573202040801006737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.4
25.326.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End6.7
red by 11.9
5695
#14
15.90.3
14.414.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Second
1188
#12
17.61.4
14.415.8
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End0.7
red by 2.5
15.10.3
13.313.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End9.7
Third
7220
#15
12.31.4
10.411.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.1
red by 6.4
8826
#27
5.90.3
5.65.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned