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Red49
717410.2
61905.9
233727.4
Blue40
686114.0
615213.2
24712.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434220305060704940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.6
25.726.3
Auto13.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
red by 13.4
6861
#18
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Second
7174
#29
10.20.6
9.39.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 3.0
6152
#16
13.20.0
12.612.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Third
6190
#34
5.90.7
5.66.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End2.8
blue by 6.9
247
#11
12.80.0
12.912.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed