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Red70
233727.4
283227.8
60578.5
Blue34
118817.6
570815.1
615213.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6746204060801007034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.2
26.827.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End6.7
red by 10.2
1188
#12
17.60.3
17.617.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Second
27.40.2
26.426.6
Auto13.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
red by 12.4
15.10.3
15.014.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End9.7
Third
6057
#30
8.50.2
7.47.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.0
End4.0
blue by 4.7
6152
#16
13.20.3
13.112.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End4.0