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Red83
7037.1
686123.7
260414.5
Blue93
86230.6
46924.3
586016.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827540601001208393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#10
37.10.2
37.337.5
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End11.2
red by 6.5
862
#14
30.60.4
30.631.0
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Second
23.70.2
23.924.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
blue by 0.6
469
#9
24.30.4
24.324.7
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
Third
2604
#26
14.50.2
14.714.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
blue by 2.1
5860
#18
16.70.4
16.717.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5