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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565301001502006242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.4
32.032.4
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
red by 9.9
2832
#12
28.90.5
27.526.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
Second
6099
#16
13.70.4
9.810.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 9.2
548
#19
22.90.5
13.613.0
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
Third
7791
#35
11.90.4
10.510.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End3.1
red by 4.5
7762
#41
7.40.5
9.28.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed