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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583202040801006744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
37.71.0
29.630.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
red by 20.0
4779
#27
17.70.7
15.516.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
Second
3667
#22
18.01.0
17.818.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
red by 1.6
4810
#34
16.40.7
11.812.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
Third
4961
#23
7.51.0
4.25.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
red by 0.8
7597
#31
6.70.7
6.47.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed