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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions932004060801001201401025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.1
32.433.5
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
red by 24.2
2604
#26
14.51.5
13.712.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Second
2832
#12
28.91.1
26.928.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
red by 19.4
6089
#29
9.52.5
6.13.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
469
#9
24.31.1
18.519.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
red by 17.4
5214
#39
6.82.5
8.15.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed