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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320204060801008062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#11
21.91.8
15.517.3
Auto7.9
Teleop7.9
End6.1
red by 4.1
4680
#20
17.81.8
10.512.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Second
2851
#13
19.81.8
14.716.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End7.1
red by 2.1
4779
#27
17.71.8
16.217.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
Third
6099
#16
13.71.8
10.212.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.8
red by 5.2
8280
#30
8.52.9
5.08.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed