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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55530204060801006737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.0
26.827.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End8.2
red by 8.7
2832
#12
28.90.9
28.027.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
Second
469
#9
24.31.0
19.620.6
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
red by 15.2
5048
#24
9.01.5
13.211.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End-1.1
Third
4961
#23
7.51.0
5.26.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 0.8
5555
#32
8.41.5
9.27.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed