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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655702040801001208555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.7
33.535.1
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
red by 8.2
862
#14
30.60.0
24.724.8
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
Second
5843
#15
24.01.7
20.622.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End13.7
red by 6.3
4779
#27
17.70.0
17.918.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End4.5
Third
7247
#38
7.21.7
6.07.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 1.9
5048
#24
9.00.1
11.711.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed