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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291050204060801201401605668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#19
22.91.3
17.118.4
Auto8.3
Teleop5.5
End9.1
blue by 14.7
494
#3
37.71.4
32.030.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Second
4680
#20
17.81.3
12.213.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 11.1
2832
#12
28.91.4
27.125.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
Third
5555
#32
8.42.1
7.79.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 20.0
818
#8
28.41.4
29.528.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed