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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5465204060801001204970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.7
37.236.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.2
End6.2
red by 5.6
30.10.7
28.629.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
6089
#29
9.51.2
8.06.8
Auto2.2
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 14.5
5843
#15
24.00.7
20.821.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End13.7
Third
7597
#31
6.70.7
6.96.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
blue by 4.7
7692
#17
11.40.7
10.311.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed68%Hangar oddsEarned