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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6655204060801005764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
30.60.2
26.326.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.5
End7.4
red by 1.7
2832
#12
28.90.7
25.426.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
Second
3667
#22
18.00.2
19.018.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
blue by 3.2
8115
#21
21.30.7
20.120.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.2
End2.8
Third
4810
#34
16.40.2
15.014.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
red by 5.2
7188
#28
11.21.2
7.48.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed