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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions802902040601001201409328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.6
27.429.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End9.8
red by 19.3
453
#37
12.40.6
10.610.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End3.3
Second
2832
#12
28.91.6
26.027.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End5.7
red by 17.5
7692
#17
11.40.6
10.810.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Third
5860
#18
16.71.6
15.216.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 8.1
8280
#30
8.50.9
12.011.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed