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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26450204060804434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#20
17.81.1
15.316.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 0.3
3667
#22
18.00.7
18.417.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
Second
5214
#39
6.81.6
4.25.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End3.7
blue by 2.8
8364
#25
9.70.7
10.39.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Third
7597
#31
6.71.1
7.48.5
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End-0.5
blue by 1.7
5555
#32
8.40.9
11.310.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed