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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8787809010011012012487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.52.8
35.238.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End8.2
blue by 1.2
38.70.4
36.637.0
Auto11.6
Teleop16.5
End10.7
Second
31.72.8
29.031.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End9.8
blue by 3.9
35.60.4
35.235.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.2
End6.2
Third
3667
#22
18.02.8
17.720.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
red by 8.3
8364
#25
9.70.4
9.710.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned