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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5168204060801001207650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#9
24.31.7
22.624.3
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End9.5
blue by 4.1
818
#8
28.40.8
28.928.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End6.3
Second
2851
#13
19.81.7
18.420.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End7.1
red by 1.8
3667
#22
18.00.8
20.519.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.2
Third
7188
#28
11.21.9
9.311.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End4.4
blue by 0.2
7692
#17
11.40.8
12.211.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsMissed