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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5353203040506070804581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
37.70.6
30.229.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.2
End11.4
red by 7.6
30.11.8
22.524.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
4810
#34
16.40.6
12.411.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.9
End2.9
blue by 7.3
23.71.8
15.317.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
Third
7247
#38
7.20.6
8.07.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 7.4
2604
#26
14.51.8
11.913.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsEarned