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Red63
89420.1
560320.2
887315.6
Blue58
159619.5
607310.0
606713.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801006358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.1
20.120.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.7
End4.4
red by 0.6
1596
#11
19.50.4
19.219.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End4.7
Second
894
#4
20.10.1
20.020.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End11.3
red by 6.6
6067
#17
13.50.4
13.113.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End6.7
Third
8873
#16
15.60.1
15.515.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End4.4
red by 5.6
6073
#10
10.00.4
9.610.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End4.0