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Red58
560320.2
82868.7
516624.0
Blue21
261919.5
60715.8
71559.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45310102040506070805821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.2
19.420.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End8.1
red by 4.5
19.51.2
17.015.7
Auto6.6
Teleop4.4
End8.5
Second
20.21.2
15.416.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.7
End4.4
red by 10.8
7155
#28
9.32.0
8.16.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End4.7
Third
8286
#25
8.72.0
5.47.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End3.6
red by 2.9
6071
#24
5.81.2
6.14.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed