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Red62
57149.6
571233.5
606713.5
Blue26
516624.0
377018.0
553411.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5147204060806226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.0
26.327.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.8
End9.8
red by 9.5
24.01.5
21.219.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End8.1
Second
6067
#17
13.51.0
11.112.1
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End6.7
blue by 4.6
18.01.5
13.912.4
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End10.7
Third
5714
#35
9.61.0
9.910.8
Auto4.6
Teleop1.6
End3.4
blue by 1.9
5534
#22
11.52.5
9.16.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsMissed