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Red36
82868.7
60984.3
521623.9
Blue34
887315.6
52317.0
542413.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362901020506070803634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.1
21.721.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.5
red by 8.2
8873
#16
15.60.7
10.310.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End4.4
Second
8286
#25
8.70.1
7.77.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End3.6
blue by 5.1
5424
#13
13.80.4
12.112.5
Auto5.9
Teleop0.4
End7.5
Third
6098
#33
4.30.1
3.83.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.7
blue by 2.7
5231
#37
7.00.7
5.76.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsEarned