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Red49
851717.8
607310.0
52317.0
Blue39
887315.6
71099.1
6817.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632010204050604939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#12
17.80.8
14.014.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End5.1
red by 0.7
68
#18
17.10.6
13.814.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End4.4
Second
6073
#10
10.00.8
5.15.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End4.0
blue by 5.6
8873
#16
15.61.1
10.912.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End4.4
Third
5231
#37
7.01.3
6.37.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End2.9
blue by 2.1
7109
#32
9.11.1
4.85.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed