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Red60
553411.5
159619.5
519320.1
Blue32
598210.3
82868.7
607310.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482404060806032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.2
19.120.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End10.2
red by 9.7
5982
#19
10.30.4
10.811.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End5.1
Second
1596
#11
19.51.2
17.218.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End4.7
red by 9.6
6073
#10
10.00.4
6.87.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End4.0
Third
5534
#22
11.52.0
5.97.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 2.8
8286
#25
8.70.7
7.78.4
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsEarned