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Red18
52038.8
60715.8
663110.1
Blue28
887315.6
664211.1
55046.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2629102040501828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6631
#30
10.10.5
10.910.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.3
End3.7
blue by 5.5
8873
#16
15.60.1
12.312.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End4.4
Second
5203
#39
8.80.8
8.07.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.1
blue by 2.3
6642
#27
11.10.1
6.16.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.5
End3.6
Third
6071
#24
5.80.5
6.25.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 0.3
5504
#23
6.10.1
8.48.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed