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Red43
851717.8
43824.9
159619.5
Blue49
78554.2
516624.0
52038.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47360204060804349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#11
19.50.3
19.919.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 4.4
24.00.9
22.623.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End8.1
Second
8517
#12
17.80.3
18.318.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End5.1
red by 9.0
5203
#39
8.81.1
7.99.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.1
Third
4382
#40
4.90.3
4.84.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.0
End1.2
red by 0.6
7855
#29
4.21.1
4.55.6
Auto0.6
Teleop1.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed