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Red28
606713.5
607310.0
60984.3
Blue27
598210.3
675320.2
78554.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274201020506070802827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6067
#17
13.50.2
13.213.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End6.7
blue by 6.7
6753
#14
20.21.4
20.619.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End4.5
Second
6073
#10
10.00.2
9.79.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End4.0
blue by 0.3
5982
#19
10.31.3
11.610.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End5.1
Third
6098
#33
4.30.3
4.64.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End0.7
red by 0.1
7855
#29
4.21.4
5.64.2
Auto0.6
Teleop1.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed