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Red45
377018.0
82868.7
55046.1
Blue67
55099.8
6817.1
603315.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2940010205060704567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.1
16.317.4
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End10.7
red by 0.9
68
#18
17.11.8
15.217.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End4.4
Second
8286
#25
8.71.2
7.58.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.2
End3.6
blue by 7.0
15.72.0
12.714.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End9.8
Third
5504
#23
6.11.2
4.96.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 3.7
5509
#26
9.81.8
8.19.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned