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Red82
521623.9
571233.5
664211.1
Blue53
851717.8
377018.0
553411.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7746020601001208253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.3
33.533.8
Auto6.9
Teleop16.8
End9.8
red by 15.4
18.00.1
17.918.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End10.7
Second
23.90.3
23.924.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.5
red by 6.1
8517
#12
17.80.1
17.717.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End5.1
Third
6642
#27
11.10.3
11.111.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.5
End3.6
blue by 0.4
5534
#22
11.50.1
11.411.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0