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Red58
766022.5
721123.1
30817.9
Blue51
755320.5
842617.0
440516.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69562040801005851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.4
22.922.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End11.0
red by 2.6
7553
#11
20.50.1
20.620.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End8.5
Second
7660
#19
22.50.4
22.422.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.5
red by 5.6
17.00.1
17.017.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End5.3
Third
308
#13
17.90.4
17.717.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End6.0
red by 1.1
4405
#22
16.80.1
16.916.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End3.1