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Red56
440516.8
590718.8
214514.3
Blue40
148122.5
721123.1
30817.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44662060801005640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#18
18.81.3
17.018.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 4.4
23.12.2
23.421.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End11.0
Second
4405
#22
16.81.3
15.516.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End3.1
blue by 5.7
1481
#12
22.52.2
20.918.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End5.8
Third
2145
#21
14.30.8
12.112.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End9.7
blue by 3.5
308
#13
17.92.2
15.113.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsMissed