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Red74
657017.2
171828.8
842617.0
Blue48
261917.1
817912.8
50330.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345702040807448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.84.3
14.819.1
Auto6.7
Teleop12.8
End9.3
blue by 1.8
503
#4
30.50.7
25.825.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End8.0
Second
6570
#16
17.24.3
12.216.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End10.4
Level
2619
#27
17.10.7
13.312.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Third
17.04.3
8.112.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End5.3
red by 4.2
8179
#25
12.80.7
11.310.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned