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Red68
766022.5
24014.3
370725.8
Blue27
83016.7
759813.4
440516.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594020801006827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#15
25.81.7
25.827.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End6.2
red by 9.1
4405
#22
16.81.5
16.815.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Second
7660
#19
22.51.7
16.217.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.5
red by 5.9
830
#26
16.71.5
12.010.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Third
240
#30
14.31.7
10.912.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End4.7
red by 0.8
7598
#23
13.41.5
11.39.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed